Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 1
BYM
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 0
LIL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
REN
2 - 0
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
6 - 1
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 2
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
VAL
36%
27%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |