Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MON
0 - 2
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
MPL
2 - 2
LIL
26%
29%
45%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 2
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
30%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
TFC
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
VAN
3 - 3
VAL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NAN
2 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRE
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |