Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 1
LIL
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
42%
29%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
REN
2 - 2
LIL
51%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
40%
28%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
SOC
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
MET
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 3
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |