Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 2
LMU
57%
24%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
28%
29%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
MUD
1 - 0
LIL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LIL
4 - 0
TRO
62%
23%
16%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 1
LIL
33%
30%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
42%
29%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 3
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |