Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
LIL
0 - 1
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
STL
1 - 0
LIL
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
LIL
2 - 0
MET
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 0
SOC
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
REN
0 - 2
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 2
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |