Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 4
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
43%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
DIJ
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
LIL
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
TFC
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TFC
4 - 1
GIR
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
TFC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |