Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
LIL
38%
29%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 0
REI
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MPL
3 - 0
LIL
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYO
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TFC
4 - 0
GIR
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
TFC
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
REN
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MPL
2 - 0
TFC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |