Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 3
ASS
61%
24%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
LMU
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
2 - 0
REN
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 3
TFC
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 1
TFC
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |