Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
LIL
2 - 1
SFP
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1948 |
COL
2 - 2
LIL
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1948 |
REI
2 - 4
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1948 |
LIL
5 - 0
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1948 |
SÈT
1 - 0
LIL
36%
23%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ASS
4 - 2
TFC
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1948 |
TFC
0 - 2
SÈT
52%
20%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1948 |
NIC
2 - 1
TFC
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1948 |
TFC
2 - 1
REN
46%
21%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1948 |
SOC
3 - 0
TFC
64%
17%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |