Lille vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 3
LIL
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
STR
0 - 3
REN
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |