Lille vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
LIL
5 - 0
SOC
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 0
MPL
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 0
LIL
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
36%
30%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 1
LYO
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
RAC
0 - 2
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAN
40%
30%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
MPL
3 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 1
NIC
52%
27%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |