Lille vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1985 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
MON
6 - 1
LIL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
STL
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1985 |
SPO
3 - 1
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
TFC
2 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
STL
1 - 0
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
SPO
3 - 1
STR
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |