Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
LIL
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
LIL
3 - 1
LOR
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 2
LIL
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 3
LIL
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PSG
4 - 0
REI
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PSG
2 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
LYO
1 - 1
PSG
26%
22%
52%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
PSG
3%
10%
87%
|
91 | 49 | 42 | 0 |