Lille vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
TRO
2 - 0
LIL
42%
29%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
35%
30%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
QUC
0 - 3
LIL
5%
21%
74%
|
86 | 29 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 0
LHA
62%
23%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 2
LIL
30%
31%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SEY
1 - 0
NÎM
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
NÎM
2 - 1
BEA
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
ANG
2 - 3
NÎM
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
NÎM
1 - 1
SED
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NÎM
4 - 2
DIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |