Lille vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
LIL
3 - 3
LMU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
ASB
1 - 0
LIL
38%
30%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
LIL
0 - 2
CAN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
ESW
0 - 1
LIL
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
NÎM
0 - 0
FCG
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
RED
1 - 2
NÎM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NÎM
0 - 1
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
NÎM
2 - 2
TRO
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
CAN
1 - 0
NÎM
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |