Lille vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1979 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIL
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
ASN
3 - 1
LIL
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1979 |
NÎM
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
NIC
1 - 2
NÎM
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
MON
1 - 0
NÎM
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
NÎM
5 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 0
NÎM
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |