Lille vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
REI
0 - 0
LIL
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
LIL
1 - 2
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
NAN
0 - 0
LIL
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
LIL
5 - 3
STL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
NÎM
4 - 0
REI
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
STL
2 - 2
NÎM
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
NÎM
4 - 2
NAN
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
LYO
3 - 1
NÎM
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
NÎM
1 - 2
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |