Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MET
3 - 3
LIL
20%
25%
55%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
16%
20%
65%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
LIL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 0
LIL
51%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KVK
1 - 1
LIL
17%
24%
60%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 0
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
ACM
13%
22%
66%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 0
NIC
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
DYN
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |