Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIL
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SÈT
0 - 1
LIL
7%
16%
78%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
AMI
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 3
LIL
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 0
SOC
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NIC
2 - 0
NÎM
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
REI
1 - 1
NIC
31%
27%
43%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
GIR
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
4 - 1
NIC
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |