Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PSG
3 - 1
LIL
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MPL
3 - 0
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
AMI
3 - 0
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 2
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
NIC
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 2
NIC
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 5
LYO
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |