Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAS
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SOC
0 - 0
LIL
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
LIL
28%
28%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASN
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 2
NIC
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |