Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 1
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
IST
0 - 1
LIL
21%
30%
49%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 3
TFC
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
AND
1 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
2 - 0
NIC
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GIR
3 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 4
LYO
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |