Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
LIL
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MET
0 - 2
LIL
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SOC
0 - 0
LIL
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 2
TRO
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
PSG
1 - 2
NIC
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 2
SOC
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TFC
0 - 2
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |