Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 0
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 2
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
LIL
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GIR
5 - 1
NIC
62%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
19%
26%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
ESB
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |