Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
28%
27%
44%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MET
0 - 1
LIL
47%
27%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 1
TFC
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
NAN
3 - 1
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
NIC
4 - 0
LEN
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
NIC
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
NIC
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |