Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NÎM
3 - 3
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 2
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
GUI
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 1
LIL
37%
29%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 0
LIL
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
NIC
2 - 1
SOC
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
NIC
1 - 0
CAN
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
0 - 1
NIC
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
VAL
48%
29%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
CAN
0 - 1
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |