Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
FCM
2 - 1
LIL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 0
PSG
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
GIR
3 - 1
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
LIL
2 - 1
CAN
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
TFC
0 - 1
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |