Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 2
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 4
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
43%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 1
NIC
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 1
NAN
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |