Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
LHA
0 - 1
LIL
31%
29%
41%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
38%
29%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
LIL
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 2
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ASN
1 - 2
MAR
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
ASN
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 2
LOR
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
NAN
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |