Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
4 - 1
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 2
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 2
LMU
57%
24%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
GIR
3 - 0
ASN
57%
26%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TRO
0 - 0
ASN
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 1
LOR
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 3
LYO
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |