Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
MON
2 - 2
LIL
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIL
59%
23%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 1
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LYO
4 - 2
LIL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 3
ASN
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
LMU
61%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 3
ASN
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
ASN
1 - 0
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |