Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
GIR
2 - 0
LIL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
LIL
3 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
MET
3 - 0
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1981 |
LIL
0 - 3
NAN
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
LEN
0 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
ASN
3 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
LYO
4 - 2
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 2
ASN
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ASN
2 - 0
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 0
ASN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |