Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1946 |
LIL
5 - 0
REI
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1946 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1946 |
LEN
3 - 3
LIL
48%
21%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
LIL
3 - 1
RED
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
REI
1 - 1
LIL
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1946 |
ASN
0 - 0
SFP
49%
21%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1946 |
ASS
2 - 2
ASN
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1946 |
ASN
7 - 0
REN
52%
20%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |