Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
5 - 1
LIL
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
2 - 2
GUI
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
0 - 1
AMI
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MET
0 - 5
LYO
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
STR
2 - 2
MET
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |