Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
RAC
2 - 1
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
LIL
2 - 2
REI
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
NIC
7 - 1
LIL
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1955 |
REI
7 - 1
LIL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
LIL
3 - 2
NÎM
59%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
MET
2 - 1
TRO
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
MET
1 - 1
LYO
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
TFC
4 - 1
MET
57%
21%
21%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
MET
5 - 2
ASS
43%
24%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1955 |
MAR
4 - 0
MET
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |