Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
REI
1 - 0
LIL
52%
21%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
LHA
1 - 4
LIL
21%
21%
58%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
TFC
3 - 4
LIL
38%
23%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
LIL
3 - 0
RED
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
MET
1 - 4
TFC
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
MET
0 - 2
STR
46%
22%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
FCR
0 - 1
MET
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
MET
2 - 2
REI
35%
23%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
RED
3 - 1
MET
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |