Lille vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 1
AEK
61%
24%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
28%
29%
44%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 1
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 0
LOR
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 0
LOR
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 3
LYO
16%
23%
60%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |