Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 0
ESW
90%
8%
2%
|
89 | 41 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASN
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 2
LIL
22%
26%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
LIL
2%
12%
86%
|
88 | 24 | 64 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BVB
2 - 2
LEN
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
PSG
5 - 1
LEN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 2
LEN
65%
21%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |