Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
COL
0 - 0
LIL
4%
15%
81%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
PSG
60%
23%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
REN
59%
24%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
LEN
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 1
MPL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |