Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
SOC
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
30%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 3
LIL
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PSG
0 - 2
LEN
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 1
STR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 3
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |