Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LIL
3 - 1
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 2
LEI
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BET
2 - 2
LIL
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
LIL
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 3
PSG
8%
15%
76%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
NÎM
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
REI
1 - 4
GUI
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 3
GUI
29%
24%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |