Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
LIL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
ANG
56%
26%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 4
LIL
22%
28%
50%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIL
4 - 1
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
GUI
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REN
0 - 3
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 2
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 2
MPL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |