Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 0
LIL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 1
LIL
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
MPL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
PAO
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 1
GUI
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |