Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
LIL
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
NAN
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 0
MPL
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 3
LIL
18%
25%
58%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
GUI
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
LYO
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
ETG
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REN
0 - 2
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |