Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
LIL
0 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LIL
2 - 1
MPL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
GIR
0 - 0
LIL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 2
LIL
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
25%
25%
49%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LYO
3 - 0
GUI
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SED
1 - 1
GUI
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
TRO
3 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |