Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
NAN
0 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 1
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 2
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 1
PSG
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
LYO
0 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 0
AUX
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
GIR
0 - 2
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 1
TFC
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |