Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 1
LIL
37%
29%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 0
LIL
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LIL
0 - 1
SOC
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 1
LIL
44%
28%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LIL
1 - 0
LOR
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 2
SOC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
FCG
1 - 1
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
GUI
3 - 0
LOR
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 1
GUI
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GUI
2 - 1
CAN
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |