UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-1
Lille vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 0
SIO
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |