Lille vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 1
PSG
16%
23%
61%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BJK
0 - 0
LIL
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GAZ
0 - 2
ANG
40%
28%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 0
GAZ
86%
11%
4%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
GAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
GAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 0
GAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |