Lille vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
46%
28%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
30%
30%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 1
LIL
30%
30%
40%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 1
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
KRY
0 - 2
SHA
19%
25%
57%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
SHA
3 - 0
FCM
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
REN
0 - 1
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
DNI
2 - 2
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
SHA
0 - 1
RAP
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |